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Hurricane Preparedness
Village of Doral Lakes  >  Hurricane Preparedness

TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE PREPARATION

TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE PREPARATION
Hurricane season begins June 1st of each year and ends November 30th. Florida can be threatened any time during this season.  This information will help you prepare for a hurricane. Please take the time to read this information carefully.

The following are some useful definitions:

• TROPICAL DEPRESSION has winds of less than 39 miles per hour or 34 knots.
• TROPICAL STORM has winds from 39 to 73 miles per hour or 34 to 63 knots.
• TROPICAL STORM “WARNING” once issued, can develop into a hurricane. 
• HURRICANE “WATCH” - a hurricane may threaten the area within 24-36 hours.
• HURRICANE “WARNING” - a hurricane is expected to strike the area within 24 hours or less.
• HURRICANE has winds of greater than 74 miles per hour or 64 knots.
            Category 1 74-95 MPH Minimal
            Category 2 95-110 MPH Moderate
            Category 3 111-130 Major
            Category 4 131-155 Extensive
            Category 5 156 MPH + Catastrophic

WHAT CAN YOU DO TO BE READY IN THE EVENT OF A DISASTER?

 

Before the Storm
Preparing in advance for hurricane season can determine not only how safely and comfortably you ride out the storm, but also how easily it is to handle the days and weeks after the storm has passed.  Take a look at the information collected below to learn how you can prepare in the days and weeks before a hurricane.

Plan your stay or evacuation:

Stay Home: However, before you choose this option, make sure you know your elevation. If we experience a storm that may put a significant storm surge in your home, you need to look at the other options. Also, people in manufactured and mobile homes cannot use this option. Mobile homes and manufactured homes are not built to withstand the high winds associated with tropical storms and hurricanes.

Stay With a Friend or Relative Who has a Safe Place: If this is your plan, make arrangements in advance. You need to make sure that where you are going is safe. It defeats the purpose of evacuating if you go to an unsafe place.

Relocate Out of the Area: You may wish to travel out of harm’s way. Be sure to bring a road map and make sure that your car is full of fuel. Stay away from major bodies of water. Make arrangements in advance if you can. If you decide to use this option, go early, traffic will be heavy if you leave at the last minute, and you may not make it to your destination.

Emergency Public Shelters: For more information on Emergency Shelters and a list of available Public Shelters please visit a county Public Library or Publix Super Market near you.

Have a 72-Hour Survival Kit
You should plan to be self-sufficient for at least 72 hours (3 days) during and after a disaster. You should anticipate no water, electrical power, or utilities for that period of time. To ensure the comfort of your family, whether at home or evacuated to another location please download and print the Hurricane Survival Kit (PDF).

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Thu, 28 Sep 2023 23:19:41 GMT


000
ABNT20 KNHC 282319
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Sep 28 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Philippe, located several hundred miles east of the northern
Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Rina located over the
central tropical Atlantic.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Rina are issued under
WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Rina are issued
under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

$$
Forecaster Brown

Tropical Storm Philippe Graphics

Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:48:51 GMT

Tropical Storm Philippe 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:48:51 GMT

Tropical Storm Philippe 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 28 Sep 2023 21:23:40 GMT

Tropical Storm Philippe Forecast Discussion Number 22

Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:47:36 GMT

Issued at 500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023 


483 
WTNT42 KNHC 282047
TCDAT2
 
Tropical Storm Philippe Discussion Number  22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL172023
500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023
 
Philippe remains poorly organized.  Visible satellite images
indicate that the circulation is elongated from east to west and
appears to have multiple centers along a trough axis.  The center
position listed in the advisory seems to be the main center and
there is some deep convection on its east and southeast sides.
Philippe barely meets the criteria needed for a tropical cyclone as
it has lost some organization today.  The initial intensity is
lowered to 40 kt, which is near the high end of the latest satellite
intensity estimates.
 
The initial motion is highly uncertain since the storm is elongated
and confidence in the initial position remains low.  The track
forecast is challenging, in part due to Philippe's close proximity
to Tropical Storm Rina.  During the next few days, Philippe will 
likely move slowly southwestward as it rotates around Rina 
currently to its east.  By late in the weekend, however, a sharp 
northward turn is expected when a mid-level ridge becomes 
established over the central subtropical Atlantic.  There remains a 
very large east-west spread in the models, and disagreements on 
where Philippe makes its northward turn.  The GFS is the right-most 
model while the ECMWF remains the model farthest west.  The NHC 
track forecast is little changed from the previous one and remains 
closest to the ECMWF model, which has been performing best so far 
for this storm.
 
The observed weakening of the system today appears to be related to 
its interaction with Rina and some environmental dry air.  Since 
these factors are expected to persist, some additional weakening is 
forecast during the next day or so, and it is possible that Philippe 
dissipates sometime during the next couple of days.  However, if the 
storm does survive, environmental conditions are expected to become 
a little more favorable when Philippe and Rina become more 
separated later in the forecast period.  There is a huge spread in 
the intensity models with HWRF, HMON, and the GFS showing Philippe 
becoming a significant hurricane while the HAFS-A and HAFS-B models 
show gradual weakening.  The NHC intensity forecast is a little 
lower than the previous one in the short term, but is otherwise 
unchanged and closer to the low end of the model guidance.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  28/2100Z 18.9N  55.1W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  29/0600Z 18.9N  55.5W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  29/1800Z 18.7N  55.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
 36H  30/0600Z 18.3N  56.2W   40 KT  45 MPH
 48H  30/1800Z 17.9N  56.4W   45 KT  50 MPH
 60H  01/0600Z 17.5N  57.0W   45 KT  50 MPH
 72H  01/1800Z 17.0N  57.6W   45 KT  50 MPH
 96H  02/1800Z 18.6N  58.6W   45 KT  50 MPH
120H  03/1800Z 20.6N  59.1W   40 KT  45 MPH
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Summary for Tropical Storm Philippe (AT2/AL172023)

Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:47:06 GMT

...PHILIPPE'S FATE IS UNCERTAIN... As of 5:00 PM AST Thu Sep 28 the center of Philippe was located near 18.9, -55.1 with movement WNW at 2 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

Tropical Storm Philippe Public Advisory Number 22

Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:47:06 GMT

Issued at 500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023 


635 
WTNT32 KNHC 282047
TCPAT2
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Philippe Advisory Number  22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL172023
500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023
 
...PHILIPPE'S FATE IS UNCERTAIN...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 55.1W
ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, the U.S. and British
Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this
system.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Philippe was
located near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 55.1 West. Philippe is
moving toward the west-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h).  A slow
westward or southwestward motion is expected during the next few
days.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days, but 
Philippe could dissipate during that time. 
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi

Tropical Storm Philippe Forecast Advisory Number 22

Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:47:06 GMT

Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023 


634 
WTNT22 KNHC 282047
TCMAT2
 
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023
2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  55.1W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  55.1W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N  55.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.9N  55.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...110NE 110SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.7N  55.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.3N  56.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.9N  56.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.5N  57.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 17.0N  57.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE   0SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 18.6N  58.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 20.6N  59.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N  55.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Tropical Storm Philippe Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22

Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:47:06 GMT

Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023 


613 
FONT12 KNHC 282047
PWSAT2
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22         
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172023               
2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
SABA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
ST EUSTATIUS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)
 
ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)
 
DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
 
SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
BARBADOS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

Tropical Storm Rina Graphics

Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:47:06 GMT

Tropical Storm Rina 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:47:06 GMT

Tropical Storm Rina 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 28 Sep 2023 21:30:00 GMT

Tropical Storm Rina Forecast Discussion Number 2

Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:46:09 GMT

Issued at 500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023 


000
WTNT43 KNHC 282046
TCDAT3
 
Tropical Storm Rina Discussion Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182023
500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023
 
Tropical Storm Rina has not changed much this afternoon. Visible 
satellite imagery indicates that the center of circulation is 
mostly exposed to the northwest of persistent deep convective 
activity. Subjective Dvorak estimates from SAB and TAFB both support 
an initial intensity of 35 kt for this advisory.
 
A combination of Rina's close proximity to Tropical Storm Philippe 
and moderate deep-layer northwesterly shear is likely to limit 
intensification in the short term. This shear is expected to 
increase this weekend and early next week, and it not forecast to 
abate during the forecast period. The NHC forecast remains in the 
middle of the guidance envelope and is slightly lower than the prior 
forecast. While Rina is expected to remain a tropical storm 
throughout the forecast period, uncertainty in the intensity 
forecast is higher than normal due to the potential interaction with 
Philippe.
 
Rina is moving northwestward, with an initial forward speed
near 12 kt. The tropical storm should begin to turn more westward
tonight and continue this general motion for the next several days.
Early next week, the system is expected to turn northward and 
eventually northeastward as a mid-level ridge builds to the west. 
The NHC forecast is a blend of the prior forecast and the HCCA and 
TVCN consensus guidance throughout the forecast period. As 
with the intensity forecast, confidence in the track forecast is 
lower than normal due to uncertainty regarding the potential 
interaction of Rina with Tropical Storm Philippe during the next 
several days.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  28/2100Z 18.1N  46.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
 12H  29/0600Z 18.8N  46.9W   40 KT  45 MPH
 24H  29/1800Z 19.4N  47.9W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  30/0600Z 19.7N  48.9W   45 KT  50 MPH
 48H  30/1800Z 20.1N  50.1W   45 KT  50 MPH
 60H  01/0600Z 20.6N  51.4W   45 KT  50 MPH
 72H  01/1800Z 21.5N  53.3W   40 KT  45 MPH
 96H  02/1800Z 24.2N  56.7W   35 KT  40 MPH
120H  03/1800Z 26.8N  58.4W   35 KT  40 MPH
 
$$
Forecaster Hogsett/Cangialosi

Summary for Tropical Storm Rina (AT3/AL182023)

Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:45:36 GMT

...RINA STEADY IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... As of 5:00 PM AST Thu Sep 28 the center of Rina was located near 18.1, -46.2 with movement NW at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Tropical Storm Rina Public Advisory Number 2

Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:45:36 GMT

Issued at 500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023 


000
WTNT33 KNHC 282045
TCPAT3
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Rina Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182023
500 PM AST Thu Sep 28 2023
 
...RINA STEADY IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.1N 46.2W
ABOUT 1110 MI...1785 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Rina was
located near latitude 18.1 North, longitude 46.2 West. Rina is
moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and the storm is 
expected to turn more westward tonight or tomorrow.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some gradual strengthening is forecast during the next several days.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Hogsett/Cangialosi

Tropical Storm Rina Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:45:36 GMT

Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023 


507 
FONT13 KNHC 282045
PWSAT3
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM RINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182023               
2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HOGSETT

Tropical Storm Rina Forecast Advisory Number 2

Thu, 28 Sep 2023 20:45:09 GMT

Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023 


000
WTNT23 KNHC 282045
TCMAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182023
2100 UTC THU SEP 28 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  46.2W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  46.2W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  46.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 18.8N  46.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 19.4N  47.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.7N  48.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 20.1N  50.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  30SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 20.6N  51.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  20SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 21.5N  53.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 24.2N  56.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 26.8N  58.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  46.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HOGSETT/CANGIALOSI

  
NHC Status Updates

Important Links

 City of Doral
  Emergency Management

Important Links and Contacts
  Disasterhelp.org
  F.E.M.A
  O.S.H.A

The City of Doral encourages residents to sign up to receive Emergency Messages as well as to the Weather Warning System, an automated severe weather alerting service. The CodeRED system provides Doral officials the ability to quickly deliver messages to targeted areas or the entire city in case of an emergency. “All Doral individuals and business owners should take the time to visit our website and add contact information to include cellular phones and other non-traditional phones as well as email and text addresses. If your contact information is not in the database you will not receive a call when an urgent message is sent,” said Doral Mayor Juan Carlos Bermudez. All businesses should register, as well as all individuals who have unlisted phone numbers, who have changed their phone number or address within the past year, and those who use a cellular phone or VoIP phone as their primary number Residents and business owners click here to register for CodeRed. Required information includes a street address (physical address, no P.O. boxes) for location purposes and a primary phone number. Additional phone numbers, email and text addresses may also be entered CodeRED gives those who want to be included an easy and secure method for inputting information. The data collected will only be used for emergency notification purposes. About Emergency Communications Network Emergency Communications Network Inc. (ECN) provides affordable high-speed notification solutions capable of reaching millions of citizens in minutes. ECN’s sophisticated network supports a web-based product suite featuring CodeRED® which enables local government officials to communicate time-sensitive, personalized messages via voice, email and text messaging; CodeRED Weather Warning™ which provides automated alerts to citizens in the path of severe weather just moments after a warning has been issued by the National Weather Service; CheckUp Call™ for scheduling calls to check on at-risk individuals, including the elderly, infirm and latchkey kids; and CodeED® for use by school systems to improve communications with their communities. For more information about Emergency Communications Network, visit emergencycommunications.net