Hurricane Preparedness

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Hurricane Preparedness Plan
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Hurricane Preparedness 2024System Administrator 6/18/20244.58 MBDownload
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NHC Status Updates

Weather Outlook

TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE PREPARATION
Hurricane season begins June 1st of each year and ends November 30th. Florida can be threatened any time during this season.  This information will help you prepare for a hurricane. Please take the time to read this information carefully.

The following are some useful definitions:

• TROPICAL DEPRESSION has winds of less than 39 miles per hour or 34 knots.
• TROPICAL STORM has winds from 39 to 73 miles per hour or 34 to 63 knots.
• TROPICAL STORM “WARNING” once issued, can develop into a hurricane. 
• HURRICANE “WATCH” - a hurricane may threaten the area within 24-36 hours.
• HURRICANE “WARNING” - a hurricane is expected to strike the area within 24 hours or less.
• HURRICANE has winds of greater than 74 miles per hour or 64 knots.
            Category 1 74-95 MPH Minimal
            Category 2 95-110 MPH Moderate
            Category 3 111-130 Major
            Category 4 131-155 Extensive
            Category 5 156 MPH + Catastrophic

WHAT CAN YOU DO TO BE READY IN THE EVENT OF A DISASTER?

 

Before the Storm
Preparing in advance for hurricane season can determine not only how safely and comfortably you ride out the storm, but also how easily it is to handle the days and weeks after the storm has passed.  Take a look at the information collected below to learn how you can prepare in the days and weeks before a hurricane.

Plan your stay or evacuation:

Stay Home: However, before you choose this option, make sure you know your elevation. If we experience a storm that may put a significant storm surge in your home, you need to look at the other options. Also, people in manufactured and mobile homes cannot use this option. Mobile homes and manufactured homes are not built to withstand the high winds associated with tropical storms and hurricanes.

Stay With a Friend or Relative Who has a Safe Place: If this is your plan, make arrangements in advance. You need to make sure that where you are going is safe. It defeats the purpose of evacuating if you go to an unsafe place.

Relocate Out of the Area: You may wish to travel out of harm’s way. Be sure to bring a road map and make sure that your car is full of fuel. Stay away from major bodies of water. Make arrangements in advance if you can. If you decide to use this option, go early, traffic will be heavy if you leave at the last minute, and you may not make it to your destination.

Emergency Public Shelters: For more information on Emergency Shelters and a list of available Public Shelters please visit a county Public Library or Publix Super Market near you.

Have a 72-Hour Survival Kit
You should plan to be self-sufficient for at least 72 hours (3 days) during and after a disaster. You should anticipate no water, electrical power, or utilities for that period of time. To ensure the comfort of your family, whether at home or evacuated to another location please download and print the Hurricane Survival Kit (PDF).

Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

Thu, 22 Oct 2026 17:27:13 GMT

000
ABNT20 KNHC 221727
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Oct 22 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical
Storm Josephine, located a couple hundred miles southeast of
Nantucket Island, Massachusetts.

Subtropical Central Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles to the
east-southeast of Bermuda is producing a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this system is
possible through Friday while it moves slowly north-northeastward.
Upper-level winds are forecast to become too strong for further
development by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

&&
Public Advisories on Josephine are issued under WMO header WTNT35
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Josephine are issued under WMO header WTNT25
KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Subtropical Storm Josephine Graphics

Thu, 22 Oct 2026 15:23:11 GMT



Subtropical Storm Josephine 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 22 Oct 2026 15:23:11 GMT

Subtropical Storm Josephine Forecast Discussion Number 4

Thu, 22 Oct 2026 14:36:43 GMT

Issued at 1100 AM AST Thu Oct 22 2026 

000
WTNT45 KNHC 221436
TCDAT5
 
Subtropical Storm Josephine Discussion Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102026
1100 AM AST Thu Oct 22 2026

Satellite imagery this morning indicates that an area of convection 
has developed to the north of the center of Josephine, although the 
convective curvature is less than it was last night.  Just- received 
scatterometer data suggests the convective cluster is near or just 
west of a developing frontal boundary. Satellite intensity estimates 
have changed little since the previous advisory, and the 
scatterometer shows winds near 50 kt west of the center. The initial 
intensity remains 55 kt based on a subtropical cyclone intensity 
estimate from TAFB and the possibility of the scatterometer 
undersampling the maximum wind.

The initial motion is northeastward or 040/10 kt.  GOES RGB airmass 
imagery shows a mid- to upper-level trough extending from eastern 
Canada southwestward into the northeastern US, and Josephine should 
accelerate northeastward during the next 12-24 h as this trough 
amplifies and approaches the cyclone. After 24 h or so, Josephine 
should turn more eastward as it becomes embedded in the mid- 
latitude westerlies. On the forecast track, the center of Josephine 
will move away from the New England states today and pass south of 
Nova Scotia and Newfoundland tonight and Saturday. The guidance is 
again tightly clustered, and the new forecast track is similar to 
the previous forecast.

The interaction between Josephine and the aforementioned trough 
should cause the cyclone to develop fronts and become extratropical 
during the next 12 h, and the scatterometer data suggests this 
process is already underway. However, intensification is expected 
during this transition and Josephine will become a hurricane-force 
extratropical low later tonight and on Friday. The dynamical models 
are in good agreement that the cyclone should steadily weaken after 
24 h, and they forecast Josephine to dissipate between 72 and 96 h 
as it is absorbed by a new low pressure area developing to its 
northeast. The new intensity forecast is based mainly on the global 
physical models and it has only minor adjustments from the last 
forecast.  The wind radii forecasts have also been revised based on 
the global model forecasts.
 
Since the coastal wind hazards associated with this system have been
covered for the last several days through non-tropical products
issued by local National Weather Service offices, those products
will remain in effect until the threat diminishes and Josephine
moves farther away from the U.S. coast over the next day or so.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  22/1500Z 39.2N  67.3W   55 KT  65 MPH
 12H  23/0000Z 40.5N  64.6W   65 KT  75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  23/1200Z 42.3N  60.2W   65 KT  75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  24/0000Z 43.4N  56.9W   60 KT  70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  24/1200Z 43.7N  54.3W   55 KT  65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 60H  25/0000Z 43.9N  50.4W   50 KT  60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  25/1200Z 43.6N  45.2W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 96H  26/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Beven

Subtropical Storm Josephine Wind Speed Probabilities Number 4

Thu, 22 Oct 2026 14:36:12 GMT

Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 22 2026 

000
FONT15 KNHC 221436
PWSAT5
                                                                    
SUBTROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102026               
1500 UTC THU OCT 22 2026                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 39.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   9(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   6( 6)  38(44)  13(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X  26(26)  33(59)   3(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X  15(15)  15(30)   3(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X  16(16)   8(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34 19  55(74)   2(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X  56(56)   8(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34 79  20(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X  26(26)  33(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
HALIFAX NS     34 70  10(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34 93   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
 
ST JOHN NB     34 18   1(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)   X(20)
 
EASTPORT ME    34 15   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
HYANNIS MA     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN

Summary for Subtropical Storm Josephine (AT5/AL102026)

Thu, 22 Oct 2026 14:35:41 GMT

...JOSEPHINE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT... As of 11:00 AM AST Thu Oct 22 the center of Josephine was located near 39.2, -67.3 with movement NE at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 988 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 65 mph.

Subtropical Storm Josephine Public Advisory Number 4

Thu, 22 Oct 2026 14:35:41 GMT

Issued at 1100 AM AST Thu Oct 22 2026 

000
WTNT35 KNHC 221435
TCPAT5
 
BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Josephine Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102026
1100 AM AST Thu Oct 22 2026
 
...JOSEPHINE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN 
ATLANTIC...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE THIS
AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.2N 67.3W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Josephine
was located near latitude 39.2 North, longitude 67.3 West. The storm
is moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
motion, along with an increase in forward speed, is expected to
continue into tonight. A gradual turn toward the east is forecast on
Friday and into the weekend. On the forecast track, Josephine should
move away from the United States and remain south of Nova Scotia and
Newfoundland during the next couple of days.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Some additional strengthening is forecast through the day
today while Josephine begins to transition to an extratropical
cyclone. Josephine is expected to become a powerful extratropical
cyclone with hurricane-force winds tonight or early Friday.
 
Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km) from the
center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Gale-force winds are possible in gusts along portions of the
northeastern United States coast through today. See products issued
by your local National Weather Service office for more details.
 
COASTAL FLOODING: Minor to locally moderate coastal flooding is
ongoing along portions of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic coast and will
continue through the rest of the week around times of high tide.
Please refer to products issued by your local National Weather
Service forecast office for more information.
 
SURF: Large swells generated by Josephine are affecting much of the
eastern seaboard of the United States and portions of Atlantic
Canada. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
 
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven

Subtropical Storm Josephine Forecast Advisory Number 4

Thu, 22 Oct 2026 14:35:15 GMT

Issued at 1500 UTC THU OCT 22 2026 

000
WTNT25 KNHC 221435
TCMAT5
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL102026
1500 UTC THU OCT 22 2026
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.2N  67.3W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW 110NW.
34 KT.......360NE 110SE 170SW 240NW.
4 M SEAS....270NE 240SE 500SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.2N  67.3W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.9N  68.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 40.5N  64.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  90SW 110NW.
34 KT...360NE 130SE 180SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 42.3N  60.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE   0SE  60SW  60NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  90SW 110NW.
34 KT...360NE 160SE 190SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 43.4N  56.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...350NE 200SE 190SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 43.7N  54.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...340NE 190SE 190SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 43.9N  50.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 190SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 43.6N  45.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 180SE 210SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.2N  67.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN